When:
Tomorrow, 6:04 p.m. post time
Where:
Churchill Downs, Lousville, Ky.
TV:
Channel 10, coverage begins at 5 p.m.
Distance:
1 1/4 miles
Weight:
All carry 126 pounds
Purse:
$2,210,000 if 20 start
SEDGEFIELD - NO. 1
Morning line:
50-1
Owner:
Silverton Hill
Trainer:
Darrin Miller
Jockey:
Julien Leparoux
Graded Earnings:
$127,500
Last three:
Transylvania (4th), Lane's End (2nd), Hallandale Beach (2nd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Never won a stakes race. The Derby generally is not the place to start.
CURLIN - NO. 2
Morning line:
7-2
Owner:
Jess Jackson, Padua Stable, George Bolton & Midnight Cry Stable
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Jockey:
Robby Albarado
Graded Earnings:
$780,000
Last three:
Arkansas Derby (1st), Rebel (1st), Maiden (at Gulfstream, 1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Rider looks like he's driving a car with this push-button horse. Three dominating wins against suspect competition.
ZANJERO - NO. 3
Morning line:
30-1
Owner:
Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Jockey:
Shaun Bridgmohan
Graded Earnings:
$177,969
Last three:
Blue Grass (3rd), Louisiana Derby (3rd), Risen Star (3rd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Never worse than third since his first start, but does not appear fast enough to make an impact.
STORM IN MAY - NO. 4
Morning line:
30-1
Owner:
David and Teresa Palmer
Trainer:
Bill Kaplan
Jockey:
Juan Leyva
Graded Earnings:
$227,500
Last three:
Arkansas Derby (2nd), Palm Beach (3rd), Hutcheson (6th).
Jerardi's breakdown:
This is the Derby in May, and this horse is not winning it.
IMAWILDANDCRAZYGUY - NO. 5
Morning line:
50-1
Owner:
Lewis Pell and Michael Eigner
Trainer:
Bill Kaplan
Jockey:
Mark Guidry
Graded Earnings:
$104,000
Last three:
Florida Derby (6th), Louisiana Derby (4th), Risen Star (2nd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Nice name. Trainer says he can run all day, but, at the end of the day, the horse is still slow.
COWTOWN CAT - NO. 6
Morning line:
20-1
Owner:
WinStar Farm
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
Fernando Jara
Graded Earnings:
$437,253
Last three:
Illinois Derby (1st), Gotham (1st), Swale (3rd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Got loose on the lead in slow fractions to win Illinois Derby. No free lunch here.
STREET SENSE - NO. 7
Morning line:
4-1
Owner:
James B. Tafel LLC
Trainer:
Carl Nafzger
Jockey:
Calvin Borel
Graded Earnings:
$1,482,000
Last three:
Blue Grass (2nd), Tampa Bay Derby (1st), Breeders' Cup Juvenile (2006, 1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Tuesday workout was described by one veteran clocker as the best he's ever seen. Most dangerous horse in the field.
HARD SPUN - NO. 8
Morning line:
15-1
Owner:
Fox Hill Farms Inc.
Trainer:
J. Larry Jones
Jockey:
Mario Pino
Graded Earnings:
$360,000
Last three:
Lane's End (1st), Southwest (4th), Lecomte (1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Unless he gets loose on the lead, he will have to deal with differing circumstances. And Monday's work was too fast.
LIQUIDITY - NO. 9
Morning line:
30-1
Owner:
J. Paul Reddam
Trainer:
Doug O'Neill
Jockey:
David Flores
Graded Earnings:
$161,200
Last three:
Santa Anita Derby (4th), Louisiana Derby (6th), Sham (2nd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Could be part of the pace scenario. Not likely to be around at the finish.
TEUFLESBERG - NO. 10
Morning line:
30-1
Owner:
Gary Logsdon, Donnie Kelly and Jamie Sanders
Trainer:
Jamie Sanders
Jockey:
Stewart Elliott
Graded Earnings:
$122,942
Last three:
Blue Grass (4th), Rebel (3rd), Southwest (1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
The iron horse is making his 16th lifetime start and running in his 12th stakes race. Not winning this one.
BWANA BULL - NO. 11
Morning line:
50-1
Owner:
Mark DeDomenico, Mark Jelladian & Dan and Jerry Todaro
Trainer:
Jerry Hollendorfer
Jockey:
Javier Castellano
Graded Earnings:
$125,000
Last three:
Santa Anita Derby (5th), El Camino Real Derby (1st), California Derby (1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Strange case of Derby fever for the connections of this overmatched son of the great Holy Bull.
NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ - NO. 12
Morning line:
8-1
Owner:
Elizabeth Valando
Trainer:
Barclay Tagg
Jockey:
Cornelio Velasquez
Graded Earnings:
$778,500
Last three:
Wood Memorial (1st), Fountain of Youth (3rd), Holy Bull (1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Keep waiting for the bust-out performance from this talented colt. Be the right time.
SAM P. - NO. 13
Morning line:
20-1
Owner:
Starlight Stable & Donald Lucarelli
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
Ramon Domiguez
Graded Earnings:
$146,500
Last three:
Santa Anita Derby (3rd), Robert B. Lewis (2nd), Holy Bull (4th).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Ridden too aggressively in Santa Anita Derby. Does not appear to be fast enough.
SCAT DADDY - NO. 14
Morning line:
10-1
Owner:
James Scatuorchio & Michael Tabor
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
Edgar Prado
Graded Earnings:
$1,308,500
Last three:
Florida Derby (1st), Fountain of Youth (1st), Holy Bull (3rd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Super-professional grinder has won a lot of big races, but never shown the explosion needed to win the Derby.
TIAGO - NO. 15
Morning line:
15-1
Owner:
Mr. & Mrs. Jerome S. Moss
Trainer:
John Shirreffs
Jockey:
Mike Smith
Graded Earnings:
$450,000
Last three:
Santa Anita Derby (1st), Robert B. Lewis (7th), Maiden win (Santa Anita, 1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Giacomo's half-brother has much more speed and acceleration than the '05 Derby winner. A live longshot.
CIRCULAR QUAY - NO. 16
Morning line:
8-1
Owner:
Michael & Doreen Tabor
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
John Velazquez
Graded Earnings:
$1,116,134
Last three:
Louisiana Derby (1st), Risen Star (5th), Breeders' Cup Juvenile (2006, 2nd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Has never run a poor race. Is this the one to get Pletcher into the Derby winner's circle?
STORMELLO - NO. 17
Morning line:
30-1
Owner:
Bill Currin
Trainer:
Bill Currin
Jockey:
Kent Desormeaux
Graded Earnings:
$642,900
Last three:
Florida Derby (4th), Fountain of Youth (2nd), Hollywood Futurity (2006, 1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Why did they choose this post when 2 was available? Figures to set the pace anyway.
ANY GIVEN SATURDAY - NO. 18
Morning line:
12-1
Owner:
WinStar Farm, Maverick Racing and Padua Stable
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
Garrett Gomez
Graded Earnings:
$177,969
Last three:
Wood Memorial (3rd), Tampa Bay Derby (2nd), Sam F. Davis (1st).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Never worse than third in six starts. The trip will be key.
DOMINICAN - NO. 19
Morning line:
20-1
Owner:
Silverton Hill Farm
Trainer:
Darrin Miller
Jockey:
Rafael Bejarano
Graded Earnings:
$498,494
Last three:
Blue Grass (1st), Rushaway (1st), Kentucky Jockey Club (2006, 2nd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Unbeaten on Polytrack, but winless on dirt. Probably not fast enough to win.
GREAT HUNTER - NO. 20
Morning line:
15-1
Owner:
J. Paul Reddam
Trainer:
Doug O'Neill
Jockey:
Corey Nakatani
Graded Earnings:
$752,500
Last three:
Blue Grass (5th), Robert B. Lewis (1st), Breeders' Cup Juvenile (2006, 3rd).
Jerardi's breakdown:
Battle tested in seven consecutive stakes. Has the kind of move that wins the Derby.