REDSKINS (-2) over Eagles
Hitting 83 percent the last six weeks (5-1) picking for and against the Birds - sadly, mostly against - and gotta go the other way again. So, why buck Carson Wentz at the Linc, where he has won at an 80 percent clip (4-1)? Unfortunately, the entire package has gone belly-up since that 3-0 record heading into the bye week. And we could be wrong, it's happened before, but it looks as if he has hit the rookie wall. Meanwhile, Washington QB Kirk Cousins cannot wait to face the Eagles again. In four career games, Cousins has completed 110 of 174 passes for 1,345 yards, with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. That's an average of 336.3 air yards per game. The kids from D.C. are also on a 4-0 run against the Birds, straight up and against the spread. Speaking of the spread, the Green have covered only two of the last nine, while the Washingtonians have cashed tickets in eight of the last 10. Gimme the visitors and we'll call it 28-24.
PACKERS (+3) over Seahawks
Bang! Hit another best bet last week - Seattle 40-7 over Carolina - and that put the BB record into double-digit territory at 10-2-1. Why go against the Seahawks after they were so good to me last week? Oh, boy, do we have reasons. First, Aaron Rodgers as a home underdog? Seriously? The last time we saw Green Bay as a home 'dog was in 2013 when Mr. Discount Double Check was on the shelf with a fractured clavicle. The Pack have covered six of the last eight as an underdog and still have a shot at a wild card. Then there's the stellar 18-5 record at Lambeau the last three years. Then there's the devastating injury to Seattle's four-time All-Pro safety Earl Thomas, who is gone for the season. You don't wanna face Rodgers missing one of your most important pieces in the defensive backfield. Then there's the Seahawks' lackluster performance on the road, with a 2-3-1 record. All that spells "Best Bet".
COLTS (-6) over Texans
Last three for the Horseshoes with Andrew Luck: 31-26 over Green Bay, 24-17 against Tennessee and 41-10 over the Jets. Last time Luck missed a game, it was a 28-7 loss against Pittsburgh. And Mr. Lucky can avenge an earlier 26-23 defeat at Houston. If the Texans' work on the road is any indication (losing five of six, and getting outscored, 154-79), it should make this an easy, breezy afternoon for the Colts.
LIONS (-8) over Bears
Revenge is on the table here, as well, after Detroit came up on the short end of a 17-14 score in Week 4 at Chicago. And why not? The Lions have been better than an ATM, covering seven of the last eight overall (88 percent), plus a sweet 5-0 spread run in Motown. Since the Bears come into Ford Field with a negative perfecto on the road - losing all six games - we're gonna walk up to the window and buy a ticket on Matthew Stafford and his pride of Lions.
Ravens (+7.5) over PATRIOTS
New England is both banged up and a virtual lock for a playoff spot. So, are they gonna be busting it on all cylinders? Nah! But Baltimore will. The Ravens are sitting on top of the AFC North at 7-5 in a tie with Pittsburgh, and cannot afford a letdown. And you know that Joe Flacco is gonna be ready because he actually has better numbers in his matchups against Tom Brady, with 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions vs. Brady's 10 TDs and 10 picks.
PANTHERS (-1) over Chargers
Getting back to the Super Bowl ain't gonna happen, but, if they run the table, Cam Newton and his Panthers can finish an ugly season with a respectable 8-8 record after opening up at a sorry 1-5.
RAMS (+6.5) over Falcons
Not gonna suggest an outright upset here, but we looked at all the games that the Rams have played in Los Angeles. With the exception of a loss against Buffalo, the other three ended in a "W," a three-point loss and a four-point loss.
Broncos (+1) over TITANS
Doesn't matter who QBs for Denver, as usual, it's the defense that will win the game.
Bengals (-5.5) over BROWNS
You can basically boil this pick down to two simple words: Cleveland. Stinks.
Steelers (-2) over BILLS
Pittsburgh is on a 3-0 run - straight up and against the spread - and should ease past the Rex Ryans.
DOLPHINS (+2) over Cardinals
A 4 1/2-point move to the road team, but we'll go against the money, and play the Fish as a home underdog.
Vikings (-3) over JAGUARS
Jags have covered only one of the last seven at home, so you can color this one purple.
BUCCANEERS (-2.5) over Saints
Tampa comes in at 7-5 overall, with a sweet 4-0 roll against the spread, so we'll buy the Pirates from Florida.
49ERS (-2.5) over Jets
Once again, we are sending out a petition asking to cancel this game. Please sign when you see it. If you are still awake.
GIANTS (+3.5) over Cowboys
New York has covered four in a row against the 'Boys, and even if they lose, it ain't gonna be by more than a FG.