The Eagles had a strong probability of winning the NFC East and making the playoffs after their Week 13 win at Dallas on Thanksgiving. Here is how those chances fell with each subsequent loss, based on simulations run by makeNFLplayoffs.com.

   Probability to . . .   

Week   Result   Win Division   Make Playoffs

13   W, Dallas   76.99%   86.52%

14   L, Seattle   62.41%   69.68%

15   L, Dallas   31.08%   35.10%

16   L, Washington   0%   0%

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