Mark Zandi

The important thing isn’t whether the president is popular or not, but whether the candidate's popularity is rising or falling when people go to the polls. Pennsylvania will be the most critically important in determining our next president. And results will boil down to turnout in a few counties.

What about the stock market? If you are less than 50 years old, then absolutely yes.

The risks of recession could be dispelled quickly if President Trump were to strike some kind of face-saving arrangement with President Xi of China to de-escalate the trade war.

There is a student loan crisis. Forty-six million Americans together owe a staggering $1.5 trillion in student loans.

President Trump’s trade war is creating an increasing amount of angst, as it clearly could go very wrong.

Just a few weeks ago, expectations were strong that an agreement ending the war, or at least putting it on hold, was imminent. But suddenly a number of darker scenarios seem possible, even one in which we suffer a recession.

Last year’s growth was temporarily juiced up by deficit-financed tax cuts. That is, the U.S. Treasury borrowed hundreds of billions of dollars more from global investors to cut a big check to corporations and mostly high-income and wealthy households.

Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi argues that the President couldn’t be more wrong about his diagnosis of what ails the stock market. The problem isn’t the Fed, it's him.

Picking a fight over steel and aluminum distracts attention from the real battleground with China: intellectual property rights, including in high-technology and financial services, movies and music. We need to make sure the Chinese play fair on those issues.