1. Jacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
Lawrence has a remarkably high floor and has all the tools to become an elite quarterback. Jacksonville just needs to build the infrastructure around him to help him reach his potential.
2. New York Jets
Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
Jets general manager Joe Douglas is betting that Wilson’s arm talent and improvisational ability will help him pan out, even if he played against subpar competition with an elite offensive line making things easier for him in college.
3. San Francisco 49ers
Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
Apparently the Niners are between Lance and Alabama quarterback Mac Jones. I simply don’t see it with Jones, so they’ll take the big swing on Lance, who has incredible tools but a scarily low number of college snaps under his belt.
4. Atlanta Falcons
Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State
Atlanta, or a team that trades into this spot, snags Justin Fields. Maybe Fields’ personality is rubbing NFL evaluators the wrong way, but his film, physical tools, and college production would suggest he could become the steal of the draft here.
5. Cincinnati Bengals
Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon
Cincinnati is tempted by the top pass catchers but ultimately does the right thing by shoring up Joe Burrow’s protection with the best offensive tackle in the class.
6. Miami Dolphins
Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
Miami could take a receiver here but ultimately goes with Pitts, a freakish athlete who will create mismatches every week. You could argue Pitts is the best player in the draft, so Miami is getting great value here.
7. Detroit Lions
Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU
Detroit goes with the best player available and will be quite pleased to do so. The last time we saw Chase, he was the best receiver in a room with Justin Jefferson in it.
8. Carolina Panthers
Rashawn Slater, OL, Northwestern
Carolina gets to bolster its offensive line with Slater, who could start his career at tackle and, if he struggles, become one of the league’s best guards.
9. Denver Broncos
Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
Broncos coach Vic Fangio gets his field general in Parsons, a big, physical, and explosive linebacker who can play and dominate on all three downs.
10. Dallas Cowboys
Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
Jerry Jones could always make things go sideways, but Surtain would give the Cowboys the best cornerback in the draft and shore up their secondary.
11. New York Giants
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
The Giants probably should be in on a quarterback here, but instead they give Daniel Jones another weapon in what will probably be a “prove it” year.
DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama
The Eagles could be wary of going with a first-round receiver in consecutive years, but shouldn’t overthink it here. Smith is one of the best prospects in the draft. The Heisman Trophy winner could become a true No. 1 receiver. Jaycee Horn is in play here as well, but there are plenty of opportunities in later rounds to add a CB2, which isn’t likely as high a priority for a defense transitioning to more Cover 2 looks.
13. Los Angeles Chargers
Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
Will Horn make the Eagles regret their decision? The Chargers should be tempted to bolster their offensive line, but Chargers coach Brandon Staley won’t be able to pass on the opportunity to turn Horn into the next Jalen Ramsey.
14. Minnesota Vikings
Alijah Vera-Tucker, OL, Southern Cal
The Vikings have their pick of edge rushers here but instead take Vera-Tucker to give them more flexibility and talent on the offensive line.
15. New England Patriots
Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
Sorry to any Jones fans, but I’m not convinced he’s actually a top-10 talent. This is a trade-free mock, so the Patriots stay put and take Jones, betting on his accuracy and pass timing translating to the next level.
16. Arizona Cardinals
Jamin Davis, LB, Kentucky
Arizona could go a number of ways here — and this is a little high for Davis — but the Cards address their need at linebacker in the first round for the second year in a row.
17. Las Vegas Raiders
Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami
Phillips might be the most talented edge rusher in the draft, but medical concerns will keep him from going as high as his talent would normally suggest. Las Vegas takes the chance here.
18. Miami Dolphins
Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan
Paye could go a little higher than this, but defensive ends are suffering a bit in this mock draft because of an abundance of options toward the back half of the first round. Miami gets the athletic Michigan pass rusher.
19. Washington Football Team
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB/S, Notre Dame
There are a handful of solid offensive-tackle options still on the board, but Ron Rivera chooses instead to add Owusu-Koramoah, a new-age linebacker/safety hybrid who can fill several roles.
20. Chicago Bears
Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
Chicago will be another team that would seemingly pursue a trade up but instead takes Jenkins, who should step in Day 1 at right tackle and impose his will on smaller edge rushers.
21. Indianapolis Colts
Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech
Indianapolis will thank its lucky stars that Darrisaw, who has experience playing left tackle, made it to them instead of Jenkins. Corner is also a need for Indy, but Darrisaw is the better value at this point in the draft.
» READ MORE: NFL Draft data analysis: How to evaluate trades
22. Tennessee Titans
Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota
Tennessee just lost Corey Davis in free agency and gets his replacement with its first chance in the draft. Bateman is a physical receiver who is also a talented route runner, making him a bit of a commodity.
23. New York Jets
Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
Farley would have likely been a top-10 pick if not for a back injury that raised red flags. His durability is the only major concern regarding his future in the pros. If he stays healthy, he has the size, speed, and technique to become a truly elite corner.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers
Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern
Pittsburgh could go running back, but it would be hard to pass up Newsome, who has steadily climbed draft boards because of impressive athletic testing to go along with clean film. He should be a Day 1 starter on the outside.
25. Jacksonville Jaguars
Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss
Urban Meyer has to get Lawrence some toys, right? Moore is one of the most electric players in the draft. I’d imagine Meyer would consider the other Moore (Purdue receiver Rondale Moore) here, but Elijah’s durability gives him the edge.
26. Cleveland Browns
Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
Christian Barmore could go much higher than this, especially considering it’s a bad year for interior linemen. Andrew Berry has valued the trenches as much as anyone in Cleveland, so he takes the former Neumann Goretti star.
27. Baltimore Ravens
Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU
Baltimore needs a safety and Moehrig is the best in the draft. Maybe they could have waited until the 31st pick to get him, but why risk the Saints or Packers taking him?
28. New Orleans Saints
Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia
Some have Ojulari as the top edge rusher in the class because of his explosiveness and array of pass-rush moves. If he slides to New Orleans, this would be a great value.
29. Green Bay Packers
Landon Dickerson, C, Alabama
Dickerson might not play an impact position and he’s recovering from a torn ACL, but it’s hard to argue there are 32 players better than him in this class. Once healthy, he figures to be a dominant interior lineman with a nasty streak in short order.
30. Buffalo Bills
Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington
The Bills are another team getting in on the late run on edge rushers. They take Tryon over Jason Oweh because of Tryon’s ability to hold up against the run while also having some pass-rush ability.
31. Baltimore Ravens
Jason Oweh, EDGE, Penn State
Oweh might still be smarting from Buffalo’s passing on him, but it won’t last. Baltimore takes the athletic and raw edge rusher out of Penn State, betting on his speed and ignoring his complete lack of sack production at Happy Valley.
32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Terrace Marshall, WR, LSU
Gotta keep Tom Brady happy, right? Marshall ekes into the first round as a wideout with the rare combination of size and speed.