Packers (-3) over BEARS
Had a pretty strong anti-Chicago feeling last week, and it was right on the money, as the Bears came up on the short end of a 21-14 score against the Vikings. And that was with Minny QB Christian Ponder calling the shots. Now, the banged-up Bears get one of the best in Aaron Rodgers, and this could get ugly real fast. Green Bay has won seven of its last eight overall (6-2 against the spread), while Chicago has dropped four of the last five. Now, WR Brandon Marshall, who leads the NFL with 101 receptions, has opened his yap, saying how much he hates the Packers. Well, the Pack doesn't really need any material for the bulletin board 'cause they have won two straight at Soldier Field, and are money against the NFC North, covering nine of the last 10! That's a 90 percent cover rate, making this the Best Bet.
FALCONS (-1 1/2) over Giants
Can you taste the revenge? Oh baby, it's dripping from the corners of Matt Ryan's mouth, as well as every other player on this Atlanta squad that was humiliated in the playoffs last season - at home in a 24-2 loss to the New Yorkers. Yea, that's not a misprint. The Falcs put a two on the board. Ouch! But they have come back Georgia-strong, posting an 11-2 record with the inside track to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. A look at the Big Blue and their recent lose one/win one flow the last month is very illuminating. They lost to the Bengals, 31-13, at Cincinnati, then beat the Packers, at home, 38-10. Back to the road where they lost to the Redskins, 17-16, then back home, with a 52-27 rout of the Saints. The Giants have to pack a bag again and roll into the Dome in Atlanta against these Southern Birds that are 5-0 there this season and have won 32 of the last 39 under the roof.
Broncos (-2 1/2) over RAVENS
Baltimore as a home underdog? How strange, how very uncommon. The last time these Ravens were a home 'dog, it was in 2009 against the Colts, and guess who was the quarterback? Too easy, right? Peyton Manning. Indy won, 17-15. Peyton is at it again, this time with the "Orange Crush," and he is aging like the proverbial fine wine. Denver has won eight in a row, while the Edgar Allan Poes have lost two in a row, and covered only three of the last 11.
Colts (+9) over TEXANS
If this is a trap game, consider me trapped. The line opened Houston -7 1/2 in Vegas and has jumped all the way to -9. Kinda get that it's the "wiseguys" pushing the line up, and hoping for a middle, but still, Indy has been money in the bank. The Horseshoes have covered nine of 13 this season, and for those who handicap with the "bounce-back theory," you'll have a money-line winner with the Texans, but they ain't gonna cover this big fat niner.
COWBOYS (+2) over Steelers
Not quite sure why Pittsburgh is a small favorite here. What have the Steelers done to deserve it? Lose three of the last four? Cover just one of the last five? One of the last seven as a road favorite? On the other side, the Cowboys have won four of the last five, and if you're worried about Tony Romo, don't. Romo has completed 66.3percent of his attempts for an average of 306.8 yards during the five-game stretch. 'Boys rule, Steelers drool!
CHARGERS (-3) over Panthers
Now that Norv Turner is most likely gone and the pressure is off, don't be surprised to see San Diego run the table, starting with a comfortable home victory over a Carolina crew that has won only five of the last 22 on the road.
PATRIOTS (-5) over 49ers
In a ridiculous 42-14 blowout against the best in the AFC, the Texans, Tom Brady proved once again, that he is the best in the business, best of his generation, and certainly in the convo for best of all time.
SAINTS (-3) over Buccaneers
New Orleans ain't going to the postseason party, but could throw a kink into Tampa's playoff plans.
RAMS (-3) over Vikings
Minny has only one win in six road outings, while St. Loo comes to the door on a 3-0 roll.
BROWNS (+1 1/2) over Redskins
Not sure about the III, so this line could fluctuate. With this number, Cleveland and its 4-0 spread run is my choice.
DOLPHINS (-7) over Jaguars
Fish have been swimming in the wrong direction, but nothing like a bunch of fangless Jaguars to right the ship.
Seahawks (-5) over BILLS (Toronto)
How about 16 covers in the last 22 games for Pete Carroll and his talented coffee makers from Seattle.
Lions (-6) over CARDINALS
Not thrilled with either side, but after Arizona ate a 58-0 bagel last week, less thrilled with the Cards.
RAIDERS (-3) over Chiefs
If you use real cash here, shame on you, and if you watch, don't ever talk to me again.
TITANS (-1 1/2) over Jets
Tennessee 3-0 straight up and against the spread on Monday night since 2008. Oh yea, and the Jets stink!