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College football picks: Lots of love for Wisconsin and Alabama, but not so much for Penn State

Alabama has beaten Texas A&M six consecutive times, Penn State's D-line has a tasty matchup, and there's an interesting over/under in Baylor-Texas A&M.

Penn State defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos puts the heat on Purdue's Jack Plummer. Gross-Matos leads the Lions with 5.5 sacks.
Penn State defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos puts the heat on Purdue's Jack Plummer. Gross-Matos leads the Lions with 5.5 sacks.Read moreBarry Reeger / AP

Here are our staff picks for this week’s top college football games, which are listed in standard Vegas rotational order.

Last week’s and year-to-date standings are at the bottom.

» READ MORE: Extensive college sports coverage

Friday

MIAMI (-1.5) Virginia (o/u: 45.5), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

Miami’s offensive line has given up 25 sacks, the most among the 130 FCS schools. Somewhere, former two-time All-American tackle and Woodbury High grad Bryant McKinnie is fuming. The Hurricanes had 55 pass attempts in last week’s loss to Virginia Tech. That won’t fly against UVa’s terrific D-line.

The Hurricanes are 2-3 against the spread and are trying to avoid an 0-3 start in conference play for the first time in school history. Virginia is 2-2-1 ATS, but hasn’t covered since Week 2, according to VegasInsider.com.

Ed Barkowitz
Miami
Mike Jensen
Miami
Joe Juliano
Virginia
Erin McCarthy
Virginia
Marc Narducci
Miami
Luke Reasoner
Miami
Jonathan Tannenwald
Miami

OREGON (-20.5) Colorado (57.5), 10 p.m. (FS1)

Oregon’s defense hasn’t allowed more than seven points since losing by 27-21 to Auburn on Aug. 31. The Ducks will play at Washington next week, so beware the look-ahead syndrome. Oregon is 2-3 against the spread. Colorado, which awaits whether star receiver Laviska Shenault Jr. (core muscle strain) will be cleared to play, is 3-2 ATS.

Ed Barkowitz
Colorado
Mike Jensen
Oregon
Joe Juliano
Colorado
Erin McCarthy
Oregon
Marc Narducci
Colorado
Luke Reasoner
Colorado
Jonathan Tannenwald
Oregon

Saturday

Oklahoma (-11) Texas (75.5), 12 p.m. (Fox)

The underdog has covered four of the last five times there’s been a double-digit spread. Love Texas wide receiver Devin Duvernay, who is second in the nation with 45 receptions. “The anger that he runs with when he has the ball in his hands and his physicality is just so impressive,” Longhorns coach Tom Herman said of his 5-foot-11, 211-pound senior.

The total is the highest on the board this week. Texas beat OU, 48-45, in the regular season last year. Oklahoma got revenge in the conference championship game, 39-27. Both teams are 3-2 against the spread this season.

Ed Barkowitz
Texas
Mike Jensen
Texas
Joe Juliano
Oklahoma
Erin McCarthy
Texas
Marc Narducci
Oklahoma
Luke Reasoner
Oklahoma
Jonathan Tannenwald
Texas

Memphis (-6) TEMPLE (50.5), 12 p.m. (ESPN2)

The first of back-to-back games against ranked teams for Temple. And it might be three in a row by the time Central Florida visits the Linc on Oct. 26. Memphis has covered three in a row and four of five this season. The Owls are 3-2 against the spread, covering all three home games.

» READ MORE: Temple employing two quarterbacks

Ed Barkowitz
Memphis
Mike Jensen
Memphis
Joe Juliano
Memphis
Erin McCarthy
Memphis
Marc Narducci
Temple
Luke Reasoner
Temple
Jonathan Tannenwald
Memphis

BAYLOR (-10) Texas Tech (58.5), 4 p.m. (FS1)

This game had been played at neutral sites for the last 10 years, but will be in Waco this year. Matt Ruhle’s Bears are a surprising 5-0 and coming off an impressive win at K-State. Junior defensive lineman James Lynch had three sacks and was named the Chuck Bednarik player of the week as the nation’s top defensive player. Baylor is 3-2 ATS with its last three coming in under. Texas Tech is 2-2-1 against the number.

Ed Barkowitz
Texas Tech
Mike Jensen
Baylor (Best Bet)
Joe Juliano
Baylor
Erin McCarthy
Baylor
Mike Narducci
Baylor
Luke Reasoner
Baylor
Jonathan Tannenwald
Baylor

WISCONSIN (10) Michigan St. (39.5), 3:30 p.m. (BTN)

Michigan State is playing consecutive road games against AP Top 10 teams for the first time in 28 years. The Spartans took some lumps in last week’s loss at Ohio State, get red-hot (no pun intended) No. 8 Wisky on Saturday and then will have a week off before hosting Penn State. Poor Sparty. Michigan State is 2-4 ATS; the Badgers are 4-1.

Ed Barkowitz
Wisconsin
Mike Jensen
Wisconsin
Joe Juliano
Wisconsin (Best Bet)
Erin McCarthy
Wisconsin
Marc Narducci
Wisconsin (Best Bet)
Luke Reasoner
Wisconsin
Jonathan Tannenwald
Wisconsin (Best Bet)

LSU (-13.5) Florida (54.5), 8 p.m. (ESPN)

Game of the week featuring with No. 7 Florida (6-0) at No. 5 LSU (5-0). The last five meetings have been decided by one possession, including the Gators’ 27-19 win at the Swamp last year. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is 5-1 to win the Heisman. Only Tua Tagovailoa (3-2) and Jalen Hurts have shorter odds. Florida is 3-2-1 against the spread, but have covered the last three. LSU is 4-1 ATS.

Ed Barkowitz
LSU
Mike Jensen
LSU
Joe Juliano
Florida
Erin McCarthy
Florida
Marc Narducci
LSU
Luke Reasoner
LSU
Jonathan Tannenwald
Florida

Alabama (-17) TEXAS A&M (60.5), 3:30 p.m. (CBS)

This is the Tide’s first game since they bumped Clemson from the No. 1 ranking on Sept. 29. The first set of CF playoff standings will come out on Nov. 5. Finally, a reason to root for election day. Alabama has won six in a row in this series, scoring 42 per game. ATS records: Alabama 2-3, A&M 3-2.

Ed Barkowitz
Alabama (Best Bet)
Mike Jensen
Alabama
Joe Juliano
Alabama
Erin McCarthy
Alabama
Marc Narducci
Alabama
Luke Reasoner
Alabama (Best Bet)
Jonathan Tannenwald
Alabama

NOTRE DAME (-11.5) Usc (57.5), 7:30 p.m. (NBC)

The Irish laid 11 last year with a spot in the college playoff on the line, and failed to cover in the 24-17 win. But that game was at USC. Trojans freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis is back after suffering an apparent concussion on Sept. 20. Notre Dame has covered its last four games. USC is 2-3 against the number.

Ed Barkowitz
Notre Dame
Mike Jensen
Notre Dame
Joe Juliano
Notre Dame
Erin McCarthy
Notre Dame (Best Bet)
Marc Narducci
Notre Dame
Luke Reasoner
USC
Jonathan Tannenwald
Notre Dame

Penn St. (-4.5) IOWA (40.5), 7:30 p.m. (ABC)

The Hawkeyes are a trendy pick here, but if they don’t protect Nate Stanley better than they did last week when Michigan sacked him eight times, they wouldn’t even beat the Miami Dolphins. Penn State leads the nation in sacks per game at 5.0. Penn State is 2-2-1 against the spread. Iowa is 3-2.

» READ MORE: Penn State players and the challenge of playing at Iowa

“We know these guys are a great defense, tops in the nation in a lot of statistical categories," Stanley said. "We know that there’s no time to feel sorry for us, that we have to get back on the horse and prepare and get ready to play.”

Ed Barkowitz
Penn St.
Mike Jensen
Iowa
Joe Juliano
Iowa
Erin McCarthy
Iowa
Marc Narducci
Penn St.
Luke Reasoner
Penn St.
Jonathan Tannenwald
Iowa

Last week

Ed Barkowitz
W-L (Best Bet)
3-7 (0-1)
Mike Jensen
W-L (Best Bet)
5-5 (1-0)
Joe Juliano
W-L (Best Bet)
5-5 (0-1)
Erin McCarthy
W-L (Best Bet)
4-6 (0-1)
Marc Narducci
W-L (Best Bet)
7-3 (1-0)
Luke Reasoner
W-L (Best Bet)
3-7 (1-0)
Jonathan Tannenwald
W-L (Best Bet)
7-3 (1-0)

Year to date

Jonathan Tannenwald
W-L-T (Best Bets)
40-19-1 (3-3)
Pct.
.675
Erin McCarthy
W-L-T (Best Bets)
36-23-1 (3-3)
Pct.
.608
Mike Jensen
W-L-T (Best Bets)
34-25-1 (3-3)
Pct.
.575
Ed Barkowitz
W-L-T (Best Bets)
31-28-1 (4-2)
Pct.
.525
Joe Juliano
W-L-T (Best Bets)
30-29-1 (4-2)
Pct.
.508
Marc Narducci
W-L-T (Best Bets)
29-30-1 (4-2)
Pct.
.492
Luke Reasoner
W-L-T (Best Bets)
23-26-1 (3-2)
Pct.
.470

Note: Luke Reasoner did not pick in Week 1.