NHL predictions: Will Rick Tocchet’s Flyers snap their five-year playoff drought? And who will win the Stanley Cup?

Let’s do that hockey.

With the puck dropping on the NHL season tonight — the Flyers don’t play until Thursday against Florida — we asked our Flyers beat writer Jackie Spiegel and editor Gus Elvin to pull out their crystal balls to see what’s in store for the Flyers this season under first-year coach Rick Tocchet. Here are their 2025-26 NHL predictions:

JS: 40-33-9 (89 points). It seems that under Tocchet, teams tend to either stay the same — the Arizona Coyotes had the same point percentage in his first year as they did in Dave Tippett’s last — or build up from a poor season, like they did in Tampa Bay (Lightning won 10 more games in his lone full season) and Vancouver (12 more). The Flyers, once they fully implement his new systems and concepts, should see a jump. They won 33 last year and will win more this year.

GE: 38-34-10 (86 points). The Flyers have mostly hovered around this pace the last two years, outside of last season’s post-trade deadline collapse that is. I think they will do so again and be a more competitive and motivated team in Year 1 under Tocchet. With the acquisition of Trevor Zegras, another year of development from Matvei Michkov, likely better goaltending, and some prime bounce-back candidates, the Flyers should take a step forward, albeit a small one.

JS: Maybe? I’ve gone back and forth on this one because I do think the typical reaction is that teams tend to play well under first-year coaches. But, while Tocchet’s system should work well for the Flyers, he himself says it may take some time until it’s 100% effective. The reality is the Flyers’ goaltending is in a better spot, and while I am 50/50 about whether they make the playoffs, they will be, at least, in the hunt, much like two seasons ago.

» READ MORE: The Flyers’ gifted Matvei Michkov overcame pressure as a rookie. Now he’s out to avoid the sophomore slump.

GE: No. I think they will be in the hunt late but come up just short in what should be a competitive Metropolitan Division top to bottom outside of the Pittsburgh Penguins. The final wild-card spots in the East the last two seasons have gone to teams with 91 points, so 86 won’t be quite enough.

JS: Take the over, but don’t bet too much. With the projected record above, they’ll get to 89 points.

GE: I’m right on the fence here, but I’ll say Tocchet’s men will sneak over the line with 86 points.

JS: Carolina Hurricanes. An organization coached by another former Flyers player, and a teammate of Tocchet’s, the Hurricanes do well in the regular season and should win the division. They added a big piece in winger Nikolaj Ehlers, but the big question for them remains: How will they do in the playoffs? The Flyers will take a step forward and finish fifth under Tocchet — notably ahead of the Penguins.

GE: Carolina. The consistent ’Canes will do it again led by a strong defensive core and a strong top two lines boosted by the aforementioned Ehlers signing and blossoming star Logan Stankoven. I think the Flyers will finish sixth, ahead of the Penguins and New York Islanders.

JS: Travis Konecny. He has led the Flyers in scoring for five of the last six seasons, including the last four, so why stop now? The power play should be better, so let’s put him at 82 points in 82 games.

GE: Konecny. The 28-year-old winger has tied or broken his career high in points each of the last three seasons and will do it again as he pushes to make Canada’s Olympic team. Michkov’s day is coming, but Konecny remains the top dog with 80 points for another year.

JS: Matvei Michkov led the Flyers in goals last year — and all NHL rookies — with 26, and while there is always the concern about a sophomore slump, the uber-competitive Michkov should avoid that, so let’s keep this trend going here, too.

GE: Konecny. More offensive skill and a better power play will equal 34 goals for TK.

JS: Cam York will have a big year as his confidence — and power-play time — grows. Although Tocchet said he would like to see him run his own pairing, there’s no denying the chemistry he has with Travis Sanheim. Skating with a familiar partner allows him the comfort and knowledge that he can play freely because they are so in sync. Oh, and he’s rightfully back on the power play.

» READ MORE: For Trevor Zegras, the trade to the Flyers is not just a refresh, it is also a homecoming of sorts

GE: I’m high on York as a bounce-back candidate as well. I’ll say he gets 44 points with some newfound freedom and power-play time that proved elusive under John Tortorella.

JS: Over. He had 63 points last year, and while teams will have the book on him, there’s no stopping the determined Russian from powering through.

GE: Over. Michkov should be better prepared in Year 2 both physically and from a comfort level standpoint, and now has more talent that can think and play at his level offensively. He should push 30 goals and 75 points with new linemates in Trevor Zegras and Owen Tippett.

JS: Under. Can Zegras rediscover his game now that he’s back to center? This is the biggest question heading into the season. I don’t know if he’ll hit that mark per se as he works out the kinks and gets back into a groove, but, for now, he’s playing with Michkov, and that should already boost his stats above the 32 points he hit last season in Anaheim.

GE: I think Zegras is primed to smash this total in what is a contract year for the former EA Sports cover boy. Don’t underestimate what a fresh start for an organization that believes in him will do for Zegras’ confidence and happiness. Playing his preferred position down the middle, closer to his family in New York, and alongside Michkov should all help, too. Trading for Zegras was a wise gamble for Danny Brière and Co., and I think they will get the 2021-23 version of the former Duck.

JS: Ersson told me recently that he doesn’t care what his save percentage is — he only cares about wins. But this is a question about save percentage, and Ersson’s best number in North America was .900 in 42 games for Lehigh Valley of the American Hockey League in 2022-23, and he’ll replicate that this year.

GE: I remain an Ersson believer, and with better support in backup Dan Vladař and a less run-and-gun system under Tocchet, Ersson will take a step forward and post a .902 save percentage in 2025-26. Ersson’s biggest issue has been avoiding the really bad starts that deflate his numbers; more consistency and less of a workload should mean a career-best season.

JS: Michkov. The Russian is so competitive, and he and Konecny will battle it out all year. The wily veteran, Konecny, has won the Bobby Clarke Trophy as the Flyers’ MVP for the last two seasons, but this year the student will become the teacher and dethrone the Canadian for his first of what should be several MVP awards.

» READ MORE: Matvei Michkov and Trevor Zegras headline the Flyers’ opening roster; Cam York to start season on IR

GE: Konecny has become one of the team’s leaders and remains the most accomplished player on this team. Michkov, Zegras, Travis Sanheim, and York will make cases, but Konecny will lead the way again.

JS: Nikita Grebenkin. Snagged by the Flyers in the Scott Laughton deal, the Russian winger has had an impressive preseason, earning time on the top line with Sean Couturier and Konecny. He is a coachable player with a big personality. What sets him apart is that he takes what the staff wants — like him driving to the net — and does it extremely well.

GE: York will reward the Flyers’ faith in extending him with a career year. Nobody is more excited for a fresh start than the defenseman who seems well set up for a breakout offensively. Flyers fans will hope some of York’s intriguing power-play traits will resurface under the new regime.

JS: The middle of the NHL last year was around 22% so maybe they hit that? I struggle to put an exact number on it because, while I think it will be exponentially better, old habits die hard.

GE: 19.7%. Zegras’ vision and skill should be a badly needed shot in the arm, while a less rigid and simplified approach from Tocchet and assistant Jaroslav “Yogi” Svejkovský should also help. The Flyers won’t be in the top half of the league, but they’ll be close and that’s progress.

JS: Last year, my boldest prediction was that Jamie Drysdale would hit 35 points. He had 20 points, but the way Drysdale is moving his feet this year in the preseason and given his role on the top power play, he looks confident alongside his partner Nick Seeler. With Zegras joining him in Philly, he’ll finally rediscover the game that saw him drafted sixth overall in 2020 and hit that mark.

GE: Zegras gets 75 points and resembles the burgeoning star he was just a few years ago before injuries, a position change, and an organization that didn’t value him sapped his confidence and joy for the game. Brière has talked about Zegras “recapturing the magic,” and in a contract year, Zegras has all the motivation and elements in play to do so.

JS: Seven. We already know two Flyers, Rick Tocchet for Canada and Rodrigo Ābols for Latvia, will be in Milan. From everything I’ve seen and heard, it would not shock me if Sweden’s coach Sam Hallam selects Sam Ersson after not just adding him to the 4 Nations and World Championship squads, but watching him outduel the U.S. in Boston and then at Worlds backstop Tre Kronor to the bronze. Ersson’s goalie partner, Dan Vladař, is pretty close to a lock for Czechia, as is defenseman Rasmus Ristolainen for Finland if healthy. And playing under the watchful eye of Tocchet in Philly, Konecny and Travis Sanheim — who has the versatility to play the left and ride side — have a lot to offer the Canadians.

GE: Six. Tocchet and Ābols are going for sure, and will be joined on the plane by Ersson, Vladař, Ristolainen, and Sanheim. Konecny will push, but in a loaded Canada player pool, he will just miss out despite making the 4 Nations Face-Off last year.

JS: USA. Canada. Sweden. The U.S. has been a force at all levels — hello, 2025 World Juniors gold and the men’s first world championship title since 1933 in May — and now it’s time to win gold at the Olympics.

GE: Canada. USA. Sweden. Connor McDavid, Nathan MacKinnon, Sidney Crosby, Cale Makar, and the list goes on. The U.S. will give Canada all it can handle, but the Canadians have too much star power and a winner on the bench in Jon Cooper. Sweden will nip Finland for the bronze, with Ersson earning a medal.

JS: Can Edmonton and Florida head to a third straight rematch? Doubtful, because while winning two in a row is hard, winning three is all but unheard of. The Dallas Stars are built to win, and with a new bench boss in Glen Gulutzan, they’ll get over the goal line, beating the Hurricanes.

» READ MORE: Jett Luchanko makes the cut for now as the Flyers’ 23-man roster is set for the new season

GE: I would have picked Florida to make a fourth straight appearance before captain Aleksander Barkov went down with a likely season-ending injury in the preseason, but that development, as well as Matthew Tkachuk’s injury concerns, open the door for others in the East. Toronto, which was Florida’s toughest roadblock last year, will break through without Mitch Marner to reach the finals, but it will be heartbreak again in The Six, as Colorado, led by MacKinnon and stacked forward and defensive groups, will reclaim Lord Stanley’s Cup after a four-year hiatus.

JS: Auston Matthews. Without Mitch Marner in Toronto, Matthews will strap the Maple Leafs onto his back and carry them into the playoffs.

Flyers season preview content

• Why Rick Tocchet believes he can revive his beloved Flyers
• Can Sam Ersson be the No. 1 goalie the Flyers crave?
• How Matvei Michkov is preparing to avoid the sophomore slump
• For Trevor Zegras, the trade is a refresh and a homecoming
• Analyzing the 23 players on the Flyers' opening roster
• 2025-26 NHL predictions