Three pitches into the game Tuesday night, fleet-footed Diamondbacks leadoff hitter Corbin Carroll reached base when Trea Turner flubbed a routine grounder.
But nothing about Nola’s postseason return to Phillies acehood stands out quite so much as his newfound control over the running game. So, he calmly reduced his leg kick, went to a slide-step delivery, sprinkled in a pickoff throw or two, and got the next three batters out, leaving Carroll right there on first base.
It may not feel like a big deal now. Not after the Phillies slugged three more homers, scored four runs in the sixth inning, four more in the seventh, and turned a taut two-run lead into a 10-0 knee-slapper in Game 2 of the National League Championship Series.
Except here’s the thing: If that first inning goes differently, well, who knows? Because for much of the season’s first three months, checkered flags were more appropriate at Nola starts than Red October rally towels. And if Carroll had turned things into a track meet, Game 2 might have transpired much differently.
“Anything can happen, you know?” Nola said after reducing his postseason ERA to 0.96 in three starts — and hiking his price tag in free agency. “Carroll can steal, swipe the bag, and then a bloop hit or something and he scores. To keep him on first base is definitely a plus.”
And now, as the series shifts to Arizona on Thursday night, the Phillies are two wins from returning to the World Series after holding serve in back-to-back ragers at Citizens Bank Park. Even a fatalist must feel confident. Consider this: Teams that went up 2-0 in best-of-seven MLB postseason series wound up winning 75 of 89 times, including 31 out of 35 in the LCS round.
In routing the overmatched Diamondbacks, Turner went deep in the first inning before Kyle Schwarber hit missiles in the third and sixth, all against starter Merrill Kelly. Dating to the division series wipeout of the Braves, the Phillies have 15 homers in the last four games, more than any team ever in a four-game span in the playoffs.
But it was Nola, like co-ace Zack Wheeler one night earlier, who played the starring role. Nola mixed his fastball and signature curve with a devastatingly effective changeup to allow three hits and rack up seven strikeouts.
“They’ve had some success off him in the past hitting his curveball, so we knew the changeup was going to be a big pitch,” J.T. Realmuto said. “It looked really good in the bullpen, and then the first few he threw in the game, it looked like it was one of his better changeup days.”
Nola got help, to be sure. The Phillies were at their defensive peak. Third baseman Alec Bohm dove to his right to backhand Gabriel Moreno’s smash in the second inning and to his left to rob a hit from Tommy Pham in the fourth. Bryce Harper made a diving stop at first base — his adopted position for three months — in the third inning. Nick Castellanos made a catch against the right-field wall in the fifth.
But Nola never lost command over the game, especially on the rare occasions when runners did reach base.
In the regular season, opponents batted .289 with an .816 OPS against Nola with runners on compared to .215 and .652 with the bases empty, a disparity that helped account for his 4.46 ERA in 32 starts. Small rallies often turned into four- and five-run innings. He gave up more home runs than ever.
For years, Nola resisted the slide step. He believed it contributed to an elbow injury in 2017 and figured he could curb the running game without changing his delivery. But with the advent of the pitch clock, limits on pickoff attempts, and larger bases, it became more difficult.
In August, pitching coach Caleb Cotham finally intervened. He asked Nola to experiment with the slide step during a bullpen session and used pitch data and advanced metrics to prove that it didn’t affect Nola’s curveball spin or fastball velocity.
“Yeah, I kind of axed it after 2017,” Nola said. “But with the clock, it’s harder to keep my regular leg lift every time. I knew I could incorporate what I used to do back in 2017. I just had to do it and get comfortable with it again.”
Easier said than done?
“Oh, it’s hard to do,” Wheeler said. “It’s hard to make pitches when you’re doing that. A lot of times you’re rushing to the plate and everything’s lagging behind. It’s hard to throw competitive strikes where you want it. It’s a fine line of not rushing but being quick.”
Phillies fans rush in through the gates before Game 2 of the baseball NL Championship Series against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2023, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Fans cheer and wave rally towels before Game 2.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies’ Alec Bohm practices before game 2Read moreJose F. Moreno / Staff Photographer
Phillies relief pitcher Matt Strahm hugs Philadelphia Phillies center fielder Johan Rojas before heading to the bullpen for the start of the game.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies right fielder Nick Castellanos signs autographs for fans before Game 2 of the baseball NL Championship Series between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2023, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto (center) and starting pitcher Aaron Nola (right) walk towards the dugout before Game 2 of the baseball NL Championship Series between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2023, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola throws in the first inningRead moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Fans—including Elmo—wave their rally towels while Nola pitches.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Trea Turner misplays a ball hit by Arizona Diamondbacks Corbin Carroll in the first inning. Turner was charged with an error.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Trea Turner loses his bat in the first inning of Game 2 of the baseball NL Championship Series between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Arizona Diamondbacks starting pitcher Merrill Kelly tries to tag out Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper at first base during the first inningRead moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
A fan holds a sign up that reads “NOLA Problem” as Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola walks back to the dugout after closing out the first inningRead moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Arizona Diamondbacks shortstop Geraldo Perdomo (left) tags out Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (right) trying to steal second base during the first inningRead moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Trea Turner watches his home run during the first inningRead moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm throws to first after grabbing a line drive from Arizona Diamondbacks catcher Gabriel Moreno during the second inningRead moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
The Phillies dugout celebrates after a Trea Turner home run in the first inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies’s Aaron Nola throws during the first inning.Read moreJose F. Moreno / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber celebrates his solo home run in the third inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber celebrates his third inning home run.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
The Phillies dugout celebrates a Kyle Schwarber home run in the third inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper celebrates with designated hitter Kyle Schwarber after Schwarber’s home run during the third inning.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte is out at second base by Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott during the fourth inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Trea Turner (left) tosses the ball to Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott (right) to force out Arizona Diamondbacks catcher Gabriel Moreno (center) for the final out of the fourth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto talks with starting pitcher Aaron Nola during the fourth inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto reacts after striking out looking to end the fourth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola (center) covers first base to get the out on Arizona Diamondbacks right fielder Corbin Carroll (left) after Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (right) fielded the ground ball during the third inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies right fielder Nick Castellanos catches a ball at outfield wall off the bat of Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Evan Longoria during the fifth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
The “It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia” cast dances with the Phanatic.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm grabs Arizona Diamondbacks designated hitter Tommy Pham’s grounder in the sixth inning.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber reacts after hitting a solo home run during the sixth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies players cheer in the dugout as designated hitter Kyle Schwarber rounds the bases after a sixth inning home run.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies' Kyle Schwarber celebrates after a home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the sixth inning.Read moreJose F. Moreno / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (right) celebrates his solo home run with Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Trea Turner (left) during the sixth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber celebrates with his teammates in the dugout after a sixth inning home run.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Arizona Diamondbacks starting pitcher Merrill Kelly gets pulled from the game during the sixth inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies Bryce Harper bats against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the sixth inning.Read moreJose F. Moreno / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto hits a two-run RBI double during the sixth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott and the dugout celebrate after Stott scored on a double by Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto during the sixth inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto reacts after hitting a two-run RBI double during the sixth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies left fielder Brandon Marsh reacts after hitting a one-run RBI double in the sixth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies left fielder Brandon Marsh reacts after hitting a one-run RBI double in the sixth inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies relief pitcher Jeff Hoffman throws during the seventh inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm hits a two-run RBI double in the seventh inning.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies fans celebrates after a home run by Kyle Schwarber during the sixth inning.Read moreJose F. Moreno / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies relief pitcher Matt Strahm throws during the eighth inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
(left to right) Arizona Diamondbacks catcher Gabriel Moreno, starting pitcher Ryne Nelson, and third baseman Evan Longoria watch Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott’s hit fall in the infield during the seventh inningRead moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies fans cheer against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the seventh inningRead moreJose F. Moreno / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies relief pitcher Matt Strahm throws in the eighth inningRead moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies left fielder Jake Cave, right, gets tagged out at third by Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Evan Longoria while trying to stretch a hit into a triple during the eighth inning.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies left fielder Jake Cave slides into third base as Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Evan Longoria tags him out during the eighth inning.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Security grabs a fan that fan onto the field at the end of Game 2.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
(left to right) Philadelphia Phillies left fielder Brandon Marsh and center fielder Johan Rojas run off the field after winning Game 2.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
Philadelphia Phillies players celebrate winning Game 2.Read moreSteven M. Falk / Staff Photographer
Phillies manager Rob Thomson tips his cap after the Phillies beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 10-0.Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
Phillies owner John Middleton throws out balls to fans following the Phillies' 10-0 win.Read moreHeather Khalifa / Staff Photographer
Nola made perfect pitches to strike out Ketel Marte and Pham, then get Christian Walker to pop out and strand Carroll in the first inning. He buckled down even more in the sixth after Marte ripped a one-out double. Nola got Pham to ground out before setting up Walker with the fastball and striking him out on a curve.
“We’ve seen where the game has gone this year,” Bohm said. “Stealing bases was way up. For Noles, who was known as a guy who was slow to the plate, to make an adjustment and change how he’s pitched his whole career — and to do it successfully — it just kind of shows that he’s our workhorse.”
Nola has allowed two runs in 18⅔ innings in three postseason starts. Add in Wheeler’s three starts — five runs in 19 innings — and the Phillies’ co-aces have posted a 1.67 ERA, a one-two punch reminiscent of Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling in a bygone era in Arizona.
“I just want to try to follow Wheels up,” Nola said. “He sets the tone for us.”
Said Schwarber: “The way these guys are throwing the ball right now, it’s been fantastic.”
Indeed, it was vintage Nola, and he gave the Phillies a stranglehold on the NLCS. At this rate, the next time he pitches, it will be in the World Series.