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Updated 2022 MLB World Series Odds After The Trade Deadline

Find out which MLB contenders had the biggest changes to their World Series futures odds

Right fielder Juan Soto (22) of the Washington Nationals swings during the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on July 23, 2022, in Phoenix, Arizona. (Rebecca Noble/Getty Images/TNS)
Right fielder Juan Soto (22) of the Washington Nationals swings during the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on July 23, 2022, in Phoenix, Arizona. (Rebecca Noble/Getty Images/TNS)Read moreRebecca Noble / MCT

Soto Trade Makes Padres Instant World Series Contenders

The MLB trade deadline has come and gone, and no team did more to improve their World Series chances than the San Diego Padres (60-46).

After acquiring outfielder Juan Soto (.274 AVG, 20 HRs, 59 RBIs) and first baseman Josh Bell (.301 AVG, 14 HRs, 57 RBIs) from the Nationals, FanDuel slashed the Padres’ World Series odds from around +2200 down to +1000.

But Soto and Bell weren’t the only moves the Padres made. They also landed other pieces like closer Josh Hader (29 saves, 4.11 ERA) and third baseman Brandon Drury (.274 AVG, 20 HRs, 59 RBIs).

Did Brewers Take A Step Back With Trading Hader?

As for the Brewers (57-46), their odds lengthened from around +1700 before the deadline to +3000. Milwaukee swapped their closer for San Diego’s Taylor Rogers, who has 28 saves with a 4.35 ERA.

However, Haden’s been far more impressive in striking out opposing hitters given his 15.43 K/9 ratio compared to Rogers, who has a 10.49 K/9 ratio.

But if you look at Milwaukee’s current odds, it’s more likely that sportsbooks are simply adjusting the odds to limit their exposure to an influx of Padres’ futures that suddenly hit the market.

After all, according to Edward Egros of Fox Sports, the Hader trade didn’t have much of an impact on the Padres’ World Series price following its announcement.

Are Braves Undervalued Again?

One team that’s perhaps flying under the radar again is the Atlanta Braves (63-41).

Atlanta’s odds worsened from +700 to +1200 despite adding two proven pitchers in Astros starter Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 3.75 ERA) and former Angels’ closers Raisel Iglesias (16 saves, 4.04 ERA).

It’s worth noting that Atlanta already has the third-best team ERA (3.57) in the National League and the best bullpen ERA (3.16).

This story seems relatively similar to last season when the Braves bolstered their bullpen en route to the World Series title.

Other Notable Line Moves For Contending Teams

Rays +3300 to +5000

At 54-49, the Rays are clinging to the final wild-card spot in the American League. However, they’ll need to quickly turn things around after winning just two of their past ten games.

Acquiring Diamondbacks outfielder David Peralta (.247 AVG, 12 HRs, 41 RBIs) could provide a boost to an offense that ranks 21st with a .141 ISO and 24th with a .302 wOBA.

Tampa Bay also added center fielder José Siri (.174 AVG, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs) as part of the three-team trade that involved Baltimore’s, Trey Mancini.

White Sox +3500 to +4500

No team in contention for a playoff spot was quieter at the deadline than the White Sox.

Chicago’s sole move was trading catcher Reese McGuire (.225 AVG, 0 HRs, 10 RBIs) for Boston’s left-handed reliever Jake Diekman (5-1, 4.12 ERA).

For whatever reason, it simply hasn’t worked out for the White Sox, who entered the season with a win total projection of 91.5 games.

At 52-51, the White Sox are two games outside a possible wild card spot, and should they miss the playoffs, the Tony LaRussa experience will likely be over after this season.

Phillies +3500 to +5500

Philadelphia (55-48) waited until the final day before springing into action and landing reliever David Roberston (14 saves, 2.23 ERA), starter Noah Syndergaard (5-8, 3.83 ERA), and outfielder Brandon Marsh (.226 AVG, 8 HRs, 37 RBIs).

Yet, somehow the Phillies’ odds worsened dramatically despite addressing some keys within the team that needed strengthening.

Thus, if you like value, you couldn’t do much worse with Philadelphia at +5500.

Red Sox +6600 to +10000

The Red Sox seemed stuck between two minds at the deadline as they traded Christian Vázquez (.281 AVG, 8 HRs, 42 RBIs) to the Astros for two prospects.

However, Boston did acquire Padres’ first baseman Eric Hosmer (.272 AVG, 8 HRs, 40 RBIs) for peanuts, as Boston Globe’s Alex Speier reported that San Diego is on the hook for practically the entire $44 million balance on his contract.

Boston also made two other moves in acquiring Reds outfielder Tommy Pham (.238 AVG, 11 HRs, 39 RBIs) and White Sox catcher Reese McGuire (.225AVG, 0 HR, 10 RBIs).

Giants +6600 to +15000

At 51-53, San Francisco is still only 4.5 games out of a wild card spot.

However, the Giants did little to improve their position and traded Drain Ruf (.216 AVG, 11 HRs, 38 RBIs) in exchange for Mets infielder J.D. Davis (.238 AVG, 4 HRs, 21 RBIs) and three minor league pitchers.

Their catcher Curt Casali (.231 AVG, 4 HRs, 14 RBIs) is also on the move as he and injured starting pitcher Matt Boyd will head to Seattle in exchange for some prospects.

Orioles +25000 to +50000

Despite being just 1.5 games out of a possible wild card spot, the Baltimore Orioles (53-51) were essentially sellers at the deadline after trading away valuable pieces like first baseman Trey Mancini (.268 AVG, 10 HRs, 41 RBIs) and closer Jorge López (19 saves, 1.68 ERA).

The Orioles did get some prospects back in pitchers Yennier Cano (9.22 ERA in 10 games), minor leaguers Juan Nunez and Cade Povich (now Orioles’ No. 26 prospect per MLB Pipeline), and Juan Rojas.

However, neither will be able to help a team that’s finally having a taste of success after losing at least 108 games in each of the past three seasons.

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