Pennsylvania held an election. We won’t know the results for days. Here’s what that means for November.
Pennsylvania held its primary election, but only a fraction of the votes had been tallied Tuesday night. It will take take days to count them all.
People vote at the Marian Anderson Recreation Center in Philadelphia on June 02, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreHEATHER KHALIFA / Staff Photographer
Pennsylvania held its primary election Tuesday, but only a fraction of the votes had been tallied Tuesday night. It will take days to count them all. So it could be a while before you know if your candidate won.
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That’s not because of fraud, or election rigging, or anything of the sort. It’s the direct result of legal changes designed to make voting more flexible and accessible, along with a coronavirus pandemic that greatly accelerated the adoption of voting by mail.
It’s also a huge change for voters who have grown accustomed to winners being “called” by news outlets on election night, with displays of concession speeches and victory parties from candidates. And while a lack of actual election results won’t bother many voters with so few competitive races on the ballot attracting wide interest, imagine the same lack of certainty the night of Nov. 3: If changes aren’t made between now and then, elections officials across the state say, the world could be left watching Pennsylvania, a critical swing state, count ballot after ballot long after polls have closed.
“It’s pretty wild, isn’t it?" said Delaware County Councilmember Christine Reuther, who works on election issues. “People are going to have to wait for results. … It’s not going to be as satisfying for a lot of people. Let’s just leave it at that.”
Tuesday’s primary was the first election in which any Pennsylvania voter could vote by mail, and coronavirus fears helped fuel an unexpected surge in mail ballot requests. More than 1.8 million voters requested mail ballots — almost 17 times the 107,000 requests in the 2016 primary — and several counties planned on having only a small share of those ballots tallied Tuesday night.
The Associated Press declared Joe Biden the winner of the state’s Democratic primary shortly after polls closed, a formality after his last remaining rival, Bernie Sanders, dropped out of the contest, while President Donald Trump easily won the Republican primary. But there weren’t sufficient returns late Tuesday to determine a winner in a competitive Democratic primary for state auditor general, nor in a smattering of primaries for congressional and state legislative seats.
Most votes in the Philadelphia region, where one in three registered Pennsylvania voters live, weren’t being counted Tuesday night.
Philadelphia won’t even begin counting its mail ballots until Wednesday, and officials expected them to make up a majority of votes cast in the city. Bucks County planned to have about 20% of mail ballots and 20% of in-person votes counted by the end of the night. Chester County could take an estimated three days to count all its votes. Delaware County won’t have all its in-person votes counted until Thursday, and mail ballot results won’t come until after that. Montgomery County will count the vast majority of its votes in the days ahead.
Together, they make up five of the six highest-population counties in Pennsylvania.
Elections officials fear that the lack of high-profile competitive races Tuesday could obscure the reality that votes simply take longer to count now that the electoral system has changed.
Joel Charleston, back center, talks with Brenda Goode, front right, as people line up to vote at the Free Library Falls of Schuykill Branch, on Election Day in Philadelphia, June 02, 2020.Read moreJESSICA GRIFFIN / Staff Photographer
Alex Sargent, left, signs in to vote, with volunteer Melanie Wilson, right, on election day in Philadelphia, at the Free Library Falls of Schuykill Branch, in East Falls, in Philadelphia, June 02, 2020.Read moreJESSICA GRIFFIN / Staff Photographer
Kat Wilson (center right) votes in a booth with her sons Asher (center left), 3, and Colton (not visible), 1, at the Cruz Recreation Center in Philadelphia's Ludlow section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
Bridget Mason, volunteer for state senate candidate Nikil Saval, distributes hand sanitizer to voters at the precinct at the Bache-Martin School in Philadelphia, Pa. on Tuesday, June 2, 2020.Read moreMONICA HERNDON / Staff Photographer
Stickers, masks and pamphlets sit on a table outside of the Marian Anderson Recreation Center on Election Day in Philadelphia on Tuesday, June 02, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city for people to vote from on Pennsylvania's primary election day due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreHEATHER KHALIFA / Staff Photographer
Hassim, left, signs in voter Larry Gurganious, center, on election day in Philadelphia, at the Free Library Falls of Schuykill Branch, in East Falls, June 02, 2020.Read moreJESSICA GRIFFIN / Staff Photographer
Kat Wilson (right) votes in a booth with her sons Asher (second from right), 3, and Colton (not visible), 1, at the Cruz Recreation Center in Philadelphia's Ludlow section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
People are reflected in plastic barriers, used to reduce the spread of the coronavirus, at the Cruz Recreation Center polling place in Philadelphia's Ludlow section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
Poll workers Mayra Padilla (left) and Jahaira Romero (second from left) sign in voters behind a plastic barrier used to help reduce the spread of the coronavirus at the Cruz Recreation Center in Philadelphia's Ludlow section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
People line up to vote at the Free Library Falls of Schuykill Branch, on Election Day in Philadelphia, June 02, 2020.Read moreJESSICA GRIFFIN / Staff Photographer
A man peels off a sticker at the Free Library Falls of Schuykill Branch, on Election Day in Philadelphia, June 02, 2020.Read moreJESSICA GRIFFIN / Staff Photographer
People line up to vote at the Free Library Falls of Schuykill Branch, on Election Day in Philadelphia, June 02, 2020.Read moreJESSICA GRIFFIN / Staff Photographer
Voters sign in at the Marian Anderson Recreation Center on Election Day in Philadelphia on Tuesday, June 02, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city for people to vote from on Pennsylvania's primary election day due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreHEATHER KHALIFA / Staff Photographer
Campaign materials line a wall at the polling place at the Greenfield School in Philadelphia, Pa. on Tuesday, June 2, 2020.Read moreMONICA HERNDON / Staff Photographer
Kirk Boyer, right, hands out stickers to voters as they exit the Marian Anderson Recreation Center on Election Day in Philadelphia on Tuesday, June 02, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city for people to vote from on Pennsylvania's primary election day due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreHEATHER KHALIFA / Staff Photographer
Kristina Scuderi (left) hands out masks that read “Vote Donatucci” outside the polling place at the Guerin Recreation Center during the primary election in Philadelphia, Pa. on June 2, 2020. Scuderi was working for State Rep candidate Maria Donatucci.Read moreDAVID MAIALETTI / Staff Photographer
Masking tape on the ground directs voters at the precinct at the Bache-Martin School in Philadelphia, Pa. on Tuesday, June 2, 2020.Read moreMONICA HERNDON / Staff Photographer
Voters sign in at the Marian Anderson Recreation Center on Election Day in Philadelphia on Tuesday, June 02, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city for people to vote from on Pennsylvania's primary election day due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreHEATHER KHALIFA / Staff Photographer
Handwritten signage directs voters to the polling place at the Greenfield School in Philadelphia, Pa. on Tuesday, June 2, 2020.Read moreMONICA HERNDON / Staff Photographer
Dozens of voters line up outside Masjidullah in Philadelphia's East Mount Airy section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
Dozens of voters line up outside Masjidullah in Philadelphia's East Mount Airy section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
People line up to vote at the Free Library Falls of Schuykill Branch, on Election Day in Philadelphia, June 02, 2020.Read moreALEJANDRO A. ALVAREZ / Staff Photographer
James Patterson, of North Wales, Pa., speaks with people to vote for Andy Meehan, for Congress 1st District, at a polling station at Montgomery Elementary School on Tuesday, June 2, 2020. “He’s a great person,” Patterson said. “I like the way Trump is running the country, not a guy I would hang out with. I would hire Andy and hang out with him.”Read moreTYGER WILLIAMS / Staff Photographer
A voter walks towards the back of the gym at Pennbrook Middle School where her district polling station is held on Tuesday, June 2, 2020. Pennbrook Middle School has Upper Gwynedd districts one, three, and seven for people to come and vote.Read moreTYGER WILLIAMS / Staff Photographer
Gary Pagliaro, 58, of Horsham, Pa., stands outside of a polling station at Montgomery Elementary School handing voters a Republican ballot and encouraging them to support Jim Worthington, running for Delegate to the Republican National Convention 1st District, on Tuesday, June 2, 2020.Read moreTYGER WILLIAMS / Staff Photographer
Dozens of voters line up outside Masjidullah in Philadelphia's East Mount Airy section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
Voters line up outside Lingelbach Elementary School in Philadelphia's Germantown section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
Patricia Murray looks at a sample ballot as she waits in line to vote at Lingelbach Elementary School in Philadelphia's Germantown section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
Voters line up inside Lingelbach Elementary School in Philadelphia's Germantown section on Pennsylvania's primary election day, Tuesday, June 2, 2020. There were fewer polling locations across the city due to the coronavirus pandemic.Read moreTIM TAI / Staff Photographer
Primary voting in the Royersford Julie Hendricks with her children Aria 5, Gaar and Aidan 3, Gaar, Tuesday, June 2, 2020Read more / File Photograph
Primary voting in Schuylkill Township Lisa Deywiler-Sifford running for Republican County Committee takes a break while working the polls. Turnout was light. Tuesday, June 2, 2020Read moreSTEVEN M. FALK / Staff Photographer
Part of the change comes from adapting to new technology.
Gov. Tom Wolf in 2018 ordered all 67 counties to replace their voting machines with more secure systems that leave a paper trail that can be audited and manually recounted. Results from polling places are still tracked as they are cast, making it fairly straightforward to pull vote summaries at the end of the night, but counties struggled to pull off Tuesday’s election amid a pandemic.
So Delaware County, instead of scanning paper ballots at polling places, was counting them at county offices after polls closed. Few of the polling place results that are normally available on election night were counted Tuesday night, and the full count of in-person votes will last through Thursday, Reuther said.
And seven counties — including Philadelphia, Delaware, Montgomery, and Allegheny — had extended deadlines for mail ballots to arrive and still be counted: Wolf ordered ballots be counted if they were postmarked by Tuesday, even if they arrive after the Tuesday night deadline set by state law. (The order applies to six counties. A judge on Tuesday granted Bucks County a separate extension.)
That means county elections officials didn’t even know at the end of the night how many ballots are still coming in the days ahead.
The larger change, though, is one that will outlast the pandemic: Voters have options now.
Until Tuesday’s elections, Pennsylvania’s absentee system was so restrictive that only about 5% of votes in any election were cast by mail. That meant when in-person results came in from polling places on election night, they made up the vast majority of the votes.
And that was even before the pandemic blew expectations out of the water.
Months ago, Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar, whose office oversees elections, said she expected mail ballots to make up 20% to 25% of votes in the primary. Last week, she said she believed most votes would be cast by mail.
The pandemic, and the change to the law, also make it more difficult for news outlets to use the sophisticated statistical models they normally rely on to project winners based on unofficial election night returns and to “call” winners of races.
But public expectations have been set by years of election night projections, and elections officials and experts worry that voters may jump to conclusions based on partial results — and then be surprised or even distrustful of the final numbers.
“We will take confidence over speed any time, so we’re going to have to reset our expectations on how long it takes to get results,” said Lee Soltysiak, Montgomery County’s chief operating officer and clerk of its election board. “But we’ll have confidence in them once we have them.”
There are still changes that can be made to quicken the reporting of results, with some county elections officials calling for mail ballots to be opened days or even weeks ahead of election day. State law currently forbids counties from opening ballots until 7 a.m. on election day.
Diane M. Ellis-Marseglia, chair of the Bucks County commissioners, is among those who hope the state legislature will change the law and allow counties to begin counting mail ballots earlier.
If not, she said, everyone will just have to strap in for November. Don’t expect too much on election night.
“Everybody take a deep breath,” she said. “We’re going to have to get used to one hour at a time for a while.”