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Super Bowl exacta odds show Bills, Chiefs would likely be favored vs. Eagles

Here's a look at the likeliest Super Bowl exacta scenarios from Caesars Sportsbook.

Bills QB Josh Allen scans the field during a 2019 game vs. the Eagles. The two teams are most likely to meet each other in the Super Bowl.
Bills QB Josh Allen scans the field during a 2019 game vs. the Eagles. The two teams are most likely to meet each other in the Super Bowl.Read moreTimothy T Ludwig / Getty Images

Each week that passes makes it more clear: there are three Super Bowl favorites, and then there’s a second tier.

The Bills, Eagles and Chiefs — in that order — have the shortest odds at most sportsbooks to win the Super Bowl. After those teams it’s the Cowboys, 49ers and Bengals that make up the second tier of teams most likely to lift the Lombardi Trophy.

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The Eagles are 12-1 and have a clear path to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. They have an MVP favorite in Jalen Hurts. They’re getting tight end Dallas Goedert back soon. And they seem to be on a collision course to Arizona, where Super Bowl LVII will be played on Feb. 12, 2023.

But how likely are they to win it? Caesars has the Eagles at +450 to win the Super Bowl, behind only the Bills (+350) and just ahead of the Chiefs (+475).

Who would be favored in those hypothetical matchups? If Super Bowl exacta scenarios tell us anything, it’s not the Eagles.

Super Bowl exacta scenarios

Here’s a look at the 10 most likely Super Bowl exacta scenarios, according to Caesars:

Result
Bills over Eagles
Odds
+1000
Result
Eagles over Bills
Odds
+1200
Result
Chiefs over Eagles
Odds
+1200
Result
Eagles over Chiefs
Odds
+1600
Result
Bills over 49ers
Odds
+1800
Result
Bills over Cowboys
Odds
+1800
Result
Chiefs over Cowboys
Odds
+2000
Result
Cowboys over Bills
Odds
+2000
Result
49ers over Bills
Odds
+2000
Result
Chiefs over 49ers
Odds
+2000

Regulated sportsbooks — as in, most legal books — will not allow their trading teams to offer up odds for hypothetical matchups. They leave those gimmicks to offshore — as in, less legal — operations.

But it looks like both the Bills and Chiefs would be small favorites vs. the Eagles in a hypothetical Super Bowl (if that game was played today). It’s not a perfect science. These odds just show the most likely result of the game. What they also show is that the Eagles (+155 to win the NFC) and Bills (+170 to win the AFC) could be on a path to meet in Arizona.

That matchup would offer plenty of story lines. Among them: Bills coach Sean McDermott coaching against his hometown team and the team where he got his start, and Eagles coach Nick Sirianni, the runaway Coach of the Year, also coaching against his hometown team.

» READ MORE: NFL Week 15 lines: Eagles, Chiefs among biggest favorites

Are there any worthy exacta long shots?

Those 10 likeliest exacta odds cover a lot of ground, but there are a few exacta bets involving the Bengals that could be worth looking into.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals did just beat Kansas City, and they are the reigning AFC champion that almost won the Super Bowl 10 months ago.

The Bengals are +1000 (10/1) to win the Super Bowl. If you like their chances of going back to the title game and winning this time, you have a few exacta options (odds courtesy of Caesars):

  1. Bengals over Eagles (+2500)

  2. Bengals over Cowboys (+4000)

  3. Bengals over 49ers (+4000)

There are a few other interesting numbers, too. They include:

  1. Cowboys over Chiefs (+2500)

  2. Eagles over Bengals (+3000)

  3. Cowboys over Bengals (+5000)

» READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer

The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.